Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 3.617448 4.009319 4.435010 4.933301 5.502480 6.134567 6.892690
2025-08-03 3.077630 3.605531 4.219963 4.993693 5.950093 7.104129 8.618171
2025-08-10 2.723249 3.319851 4.049917 5.020596 6.294894 7.935824 10.250405
2025-08-17 2.395576 3.008685 3.787884 4.868108 6.354759 8.371456 11.390346
2025-08-24 2.171780 2.797165 3.617995 4.797779 6.490137 8.895195 12.696166
2025-08-31 2.005128 2.640235 3.497890 4.771087 6.667402 9.480372 14.158580
2025-09-07 1.918109 2.580587 3.500496 4.910558 7.091539 10.471409 16.398465
2025-09-14 1.796082 2.459597 3.402454 4.886951 7.257697 11.072354 18.079544
2025-09-21 1.683001 2.341440 3.296632 4.837460 7.371203 11.592525 19.692915
2025-09-28 1.540310 2.169156 3.096123 4.619948 7.184049 11.575848 20.305633
2025-10-05 1.476030 2.109114 3.060423 4.660448 7.429491 12.337180 22.532585
2025-10-12 1.428528 2.070723 3.054234 4.746609 7.759574 13.288943 25.313494
2025-10-19 1.385179 2.037367 3.055742 4.849765 8.139111 14.401278 28.703184
2025-10-26 1.336658 1.992580 3.035328 4.912994 8.452525 15.431029 32.145249
2025-11-02 1.285269 1.939590 2.997027 4.940055 8.698670 16.357703 35.557457
2025-11-09 1.206158 1.836545 2.867631 4.790680 8.582695 16.503355 37.059622
2025-11-16 1.147744 1.764309 2.785822 4.721745 8.619142 16.982644 39.536334
2025-11-23 1.101055 1.709002 2.729519 4.695576 8.739421 17.665144 42.731694
2025-11-30 1.083753 1.702290 2.757511 4.832321 9.216037 19.243456 48.914565
2025-12-07 1.042984 1.652906 2.706131 4.809177 9.344386 20.007315 52.876300
2025-12-14 1.001277 1.599709 2.644590 4.760654 9.410908 20.627722 56.566335
2025-12-21 0.938938 1.507404 2.506576 4.547371 9.083802 20.198258 56.668084
2025-12-28 0.915399 1.482782 2.492334 4.587087 9.343704 21.344153 62.545679